Everyone has heard of the 4-year bull bear cycle that Bitcoin is going through, but have you ever thought that Bitcoin may experience a larger cycle? Can this larger cycle reflect the way humans adopt new technologies? Have we ever seen anything similar before, such as the internet?Hello everyone, I am Da ZhuGong Zhong Hao's Godfather Talks about Bai Peng's Private Placement and Entering the Group with K-line Secret ScriptsIn this article, we will delve into a new theory that demonstratesBitcoin is undergoing a larger 16 year cycleThis can help us predict the direction of Bitcoin prices in the coming years.The conventional "4-year cycle" of BitcoinBitcoin tends to experience a 4-year cycle and is divided into two parts: an upward trend and a downward trend
Everyone has heard of the 4-year bull bear cycle that Bitcoin is going through, but have you ever thought that Bitcoin may experience a larger cycle? Can this larger cycle reflect the way humans adopt new technologies? Have we ever seen anything similar before, such as the internet?
Hello everyone, I am Da Zhu
Gong Zhong Hao's Godfather Talks about Bai Peng's Private Placement and Entering the Group with K-line Secret Scripts
In this article, we will delve into a new theory that demonstratesBitcoin is undergoing a larger 16 year cycleThis can help us predict the direction of Bitcoin prices in the coming years.
The conventional "4-year cycle" of Bitcoin
Bitcoin tends to experience a 4-year cycle and is divided into two parts: an upward trend and a downward trend.
In a regular 4-year cycle, basicIncluding a 3-year upward trend followed by a 1-year downward trend (also known as a bear market). So far, Bitcoin has completed four such cycles and demonstrated incredible accuracy, attracting the attention of market participants.
Internet cycle
500 Internet cycle. 4 .
Internet cycle 1986 MicrosoftInternet cycle.
The first three four-year cycles of Bitcoin look very similar to the first three four-year cycles of the S&P 500 index starting in 1986.
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Internet cycle.
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Internet cycle 3 4 .
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Will Bitcoin make similar actions? Disappoint those who expect a regular four-year cycle and surprise most, ultimately falling into a bear market that lasts for several years?
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Microsoft 2000 60 . 2015 .
This means that it took 15 years for it to fully recover from that high point and once again surpass that level.Microsoft 21 2021 5 .
Microsoft 500 .
From a person's perspective, it is difficult to imagine that they have experienced a long-term bear market in assets that have been rising for most of the time. So, is it possible for Bitcoin to experience a similar situation?
Intersection between cycles
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4 2025 1 . 4 3 .
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How to discover the top of the cycle
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Other influencing factors
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